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Questions

» Predictions

» World & Business

70,500

500

One of the top 100 newspapers in the US will cease newsstand distribution by the end of the year

"Top 100 newspapers in the US"

InfoWorld just sent out its last print issue (it will still publish to the web) and there are rumors that the San Francisco Chronicle is in trouble. Will print become too expensive to support distribution to newsstands and kiosks? Will any one of these papers be only available only via a subscription? A "yes" bet says that one of the 100 will only be available via subscription or the paper will shutdown entirely. A "no" bet says that all 100 papers will still be available on newsstands on 12/31/07.

Yes

Settlement Details

Settlement choice: Draw.

Question Details

Created On:	4/4/07 at 11:41am (822 days ago)
Closes On:	12/31/07 at 11:59pm (550 days ago)
Settles On:	1/7/08 at 11:59pm (543 days ago)

Topic:	Business
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Comments

House wrote 444 days ago

Hi,

Since the creator has failed to settle this outcome-based bet, I am settling it as a draw.

BluBet Admin

poetess1968 wrote 550 days ago

Yes

lileth wrote 633 days ago

yes

iankennedy (Creator) wrote 766 days ago

SF Chronicle lays of 100 journalists

http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=/chronicle/archive/2007/05/29/EDGFKQ20N61.DTL

Caroline Rodgers wrote 799 days ago

It is inevitable for a number of reasons: the cost of printing and distributing the paper product, the ability to keep the online versions constantly updated, the steady shift in the amount of time people spend online, to name only three. Once computers and TV merge and the written word gives way to more and more video clips, any printed newspapers that remain will be throwbacks for wealthy old-world nostalgics.

iankennedy (Creator) wrote 800 days ago

Arthur Sulzberger, Publisher of the NY Times recently quoted

"I really don't know whether we'll be printing the Times in five years, and you know what? I don't care either."

http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/822775.html

chudson wrote 807 days ago

This is a great bet. I have to believe there is at least 1 of the top 100 will at least run this experiment to see if it's a way to stave off the inevitable.

rpaulh wrote 817 days ago

yes, only b/c a larger shakeup is coming. it's hard to bet on this b/c of all the consolidation so far. so it's a good questions, but 1 of 100? i bet yes b/c the examiner strategy is working as a roll-up across metro areas. something similar is in stock, at least a name change!

spirit wrote 820 days ago

each of the top 100 newspapers should have enough circulation to generate positive cashflow to invest in online media or more localized editorial resource. if any of the 100 fall, it'd be the low circ or poorly managed ones. aside from the dismal growth story the newspaper business has attractive fundamentals.

daveschappell wrote 821 days ago

I think this one's a sure thing... double or nothin'?

kevin wrote 821 days ago

the weakest newspapers have the weakest online traffic (e.g. SF Chronicle). Therefore they have no options if they cease print distribution - i bet they make it another 9 months before collapsing...

song wrote 821 days ago

I bet more than one will be out of printed business. I wonder if top 100 from 2005 stayed in circulation 2006...

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iankennedy

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Odds

141 Players (Viewed 1,280 times)

Yes - 89.36% (126 players)

No - 10.64% (15 players)

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